newest oldest
Notify of
dv8
Editor

hey there!

Sven
Editor
Sven

Hi, Dv8 -- happy Autumn!

Paddy O'Furnijur
Editor
Paddy O'Furnijur

Happy flappy-puppy Tuesday, Gerbil Nation! Good morning, dv8, and Sven! I’ve been reading up on the coronavirus stats in my county and how we didn’t meet the benchmarks to move into a lower, less restrictive tier. I’ve been tracking the numbers and something didn’t seem right -- and then I found the answer. Apparently my county hasn’t been testing enough people -- the testing rate has dropped below the state average -- so the county’s testing stats are being penalized. I guess the geniuses in Sacramento haven’t figured out that a) if every county that is below average increases their… Read more »

Sven
Editor
Sven

Hi, Paddy -- maybe your county should offer a cash incentive to get tested?

Paddy O'Furnijur
Editor
Paddy O'Furnijur

At the peak, in July, the county was conducting 53,000 tests per week. Now we’re down to 40,000 but apparently that’s not good enough. If they offered a cash incentive that exceeded the cost of the test, I’d get tested.

Sven
Editor
Sven

Trying to make sense of the Chinese Flu numbers, I came across this site: https://ourworldindata.org/excess-mortality-covid

If you scroll down a bit, you come to a graph for excess mortality for all ages and selected countries. You can add the United States to the graph and see results.

I think this might be a better way to view the pandemic -- in total, how many deaths are we seeing due to Covid19 above the number of deaths we would normally expect to see. If the numbers are accurate, we dropped back to the baseline last month.

Paddy O'Furnijur
Editor
Paddy O'Furnijur

That’s a great site, Sven. By looking at excess mortality, we can also filter out incorrectly classified deaths. Based on that data, we should have been able to re-open everything a month ago. Or maybe I’m just a science denier.

Sven
Editor
Sven

That was my thought as well, Paddy, but I wondered if I was just giving in to confirmation bias that this thing has been winding down for months now.

Paddy O'Furnijur
Editor
Paddy O'Furnijur

I found this article at AoSHQ that also references the steady decline in COVID-19 cases: https://behindtheblack.com/behind-the-black/points-of-information/despite-fading-epidemic-governments-vow-to-maintain-lockdowns/ Worse, too many people seem unwilling to accept the reality that the epidemic is ending. Instead, they get outraged by anyone who even suggests such a thing. They have fallen in love with their fear, and want to embrace it, forcing masks and restrictions on everyone forever, just so that they have a false sense of safety. Unfortunately too many of our fascist governors and health bureaucrats have decided to take full advantage of that panicky fear and use it to gain more power… Read more »

Sven
Editor
Sven

The skeptic in me immediately agrees with the summation -- I wish I could come up with some other explanation.

Sven
Editor
Sven

This person bears some resemblance to a certain decision scientist. https://heavy.com/news/2020/09/pascale-ferrier/